Frontier AI Models Surpass Human Experts in Earnings Forecasting, Samaya Research Shows

For the first time, cutting-edge AI models have outperformed human equity analysts at forecasting corporate earnings surprises, according to research from financial AI platform Samaya. The company tested seven frontier AI models—including GPT-6 Astra, Claude Fable 5.1, and Claude Opus 5.5—against professional analyst consensus across 456 quarterly earnings releases, finding that only the most advanced models could beat even bias-corrected consensus predictions.