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Trump Asks Followers to Rename AI as Traders Put an Official Change at 9%

September 21, 2026 at 12:11 EDT

Policy & Regulation
Finance

President Donald Trump has asked followers to retire the phrase "artificial intelligence," while a new Polymarket contract assigns a 9% chance that he will make any replacement official by September 30. The market opened on September 20, 2026, at 3:22 p.m. ET. As of September 21 it priced "Yes" at 9 cents, a 91% implied chance of "No," after $4,976 in trading.

September 21, 2026 · United States

Official AI rename priced at 9%

President Trump asked followers to replace "artificial intelligence," but traders put only a 9% chance on a formal federal name change by September 30.

Chance of an official rename by September 30

Yes

Formal rename

91%

No official rename

Column height is proportional: the chance of no formal rename is about ten times the chance of yes.

Yes price on September 21

91%

Implied chance of No

$4,976

Traded by September 21

~300,000

Votes in the three-name poll

How the naming push unfolded

1 · September 19

Poll opens with Superior, Extreme, and Supreme Intelligence

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2 · Next day

Supreme Intelligence dropped after trailing

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3 · Same weekend

AI Force and a future AI czar announced, duties unset

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4 · Still open

No qualifying order signed before the September 30 cutoff

Case for a new name

Trump calls the current term inaccurate. Superior Intelligence led the poll, and he says the industry should be helped, not stifled. He has tied AI to as much as 25% of U.S. GDP.

Why it may not stick

Traders price Yes at 9%. Polls and speeches do not count, and renaming only an AI Force would not either. No duties were set for the force or the czar, and some lab leaders have urged a slower rollout.

WHAT WOULD COUNT

A signed directive must rename the technology itself by 11:59 p.m. ET on September 30.

An executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum qualifies. Any new name qualifies. A later court stay would not undo a signature inside the window. Social polls, an AI Force title alone, and a renamed private product do not.

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