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Anthropic Alignment Lead Estimates More Than 10% AI Extinction Risk Within a Decade

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Anthropic Alignment Science Lead Evan Hubinger has put his personal estimate of AI causing human extinction within the next decade above 10%, saying the company is not yet clearly on track to solve alignment for superintelligence. His assessment followed the resignation of Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon, who warned that leading AI labs are racing toward self-improving systems despite recognizing the stakes.

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